Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.006582 0.007372 0.008233 0.009241 0.010394 0.011672 0.013203
2025-02-16 0.005347 0.006431 0.007713 0.009348 0.011391 0.013877 0.017158
2025-02-23 0.004565 0.005749 0.007224 0.009215 0.011857 0.015283 0.020124
2025-03-02 0.004112 0.005376 0.007020 0.009344 0.012589 0.017031 0.023690
2025-03-09 0.003699 0.004988 0.006726 0.009281 0.013008 0.018351 0.026789
2025-03-16 0.003266 0.004518 0.006258 0.008901 0.012900 0.018867 0.028724
2025-03-23 0.003003 0.004256 0.006047 0.008855 0.013256 0.020081 0.031863
2025-03-30 0.002898 0.004207 0.006134 0.009251 0.014316 0.022493 0.037272
2025-04-06 0.002637 0.003902 0.005805 0.008963 0.014244 0.023049 0.039570
2025-04-13 0.002420 0.003645 0.005527 0.008723 0.014215 0.023656 0.042020
2025-04-20 0.002278 0.003492 0.005396 0.008709 0.014561 0.024939 0.045889
2025-04-27 0.002215 0.003459 0.005453 0.009012 0.015485 0.027357 0.052308
2025-05-04 0.002075 0.003294 0.005289 0.008931 0.015738 0.028616 0.056719
2025-05-11 0.001974 0.003189 0.005218 0.009012 0.016306 0.030565 0.062952
2025-05-18 0.001850 0.003032 0.005044 0.008886 0.016455 0.031691 0.067552
2025-05-25 0.001776 0.002958 0.005008 0.009009 0.017107 0.033925 0.075086
2025-06-01 0.001682 0.002840 0.004883 0.008949 0.017377 0.035380 0.081024
2025-06-08 0.001553 0.002651 0.004614 0.008585 0.016973 0.035305 0.083143
2025-06-15 0.001478 0.002555 0.004511 0.008541 0.017245 0.036781 0.089530
2025-06-22 0.001463 0.002568 0.004613 0.008921 0.018483 0.040663 0.103140
2025-06-29 0.001368 0.002426 0.004408 0.008644 0.018219 0.040921 0.106714
2025-07-06 0.001286 0.002304 0.004232 0.008414 0.018037 0.041355 0.110890
2025-07-13 0.001234 0.002236 0.004159 0.008401 0.018361 0.043109 0.119381